2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 60-64 | Quebec, Canada

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 60-64 in Quebec

1. 222 of 2,706 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 8.20% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 428% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 39 of 3,367 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 183 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 661 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 433 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 5,317 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of Quebec’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 428% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 60-64 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 222 of 313,804 men aged 60-64 living in Quebec died from Unknown Causes.

222 ÷ 313,804 = 0.00071 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 399 deaths from Unknown Causes among 3,217,486 men aged 60-64 living in Quebec in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

399 ÷ 3,217,486 = 0.00012 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

313,804 X 0.00012 = 39 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

222 – 39 = 183

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

222 ÷ 39 = 5.2791

This reveals 183 lives lost and is 527.91% of what we expected (an increase of 428%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

505 ÷ 2,060,896 = 0.00025 (5-yr CDR)

313,804(2022 pop) X 0.00025 = 77 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

222 – 77 = 145 or 145 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

222 ÷ 77 = 2.7739 or an increase of 177%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Quebec in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

2,374,700 X 0.00012 = 294 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

727 – 294 = 433 or 433 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

727 ÷ 294 = 2.2845 or an increase of 128%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 60-64 living in Quebec in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.