2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – 30-34 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 30-34 in New York

1. 594 of 594 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is up 46% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 399 of 399 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 195 excess deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 825 excess deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are up 46% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 30-34 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 594 of 700,481 women aged 30-34 living in New York died from All Causes.

594 ÷ 700,481 = 0.00085 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 5,767 deaths from All Causes among 10,114,080 women aged 30-34 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

5,767 ÷ 10,114,080 = 0.00057 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

700,481 X 0.00057 = 399 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

594 – 399 = 195

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

594 ÷ 399 = 1.4616

This reveals 195 lives lost and is 146.16% of what we expected (an increase of 46%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,428 ÷ 4,906,735 = 0.00070 (5-yr CDR)

700,481(2022 pop) X 0.00070 = 489 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

594 – 489 = 105 or 105 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

594 ÷ 489 = 1.1967 or an increase of 20%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,607,216 X 0.00057 = 3,197 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4022 – 3,197 = 825 or 825 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,022 ÷ 3,197 = 1.2363 or an increase of 24%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 30-34 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.