2022 Deaths – All Causes – Female – 55-59 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for women aged 55-59 in New York

1. 3,266 of 3,266 total deaths were from All Causes
2. 100.00% of all deaths were from All Causes
3. This is down 2% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 3,315 of 3,315 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 49 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes in 2022.
6. 1,190 fewer than expected deaths from All Causes (2015-2022)

1. To show this year’s deaths from All Causes are down 2% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many women aged 55-59 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from All Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 3,266 of 674,554 women aged 55-59 living in New York died from All Causes.

3,266 ÷ 674,554 = 0.00484 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from All Causes

The table shows there were a total of 45,234 deaths from All Causes among 9,205,732 women aged 55-59 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

45,234 ÷ 9,205,732 = 0.00491 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

674,554 X 0.00491 = 3,315 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

3,266 – 3,315 = -49

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

3,266 ÷ 3,315 = 0.9834

This reveals 49 lives saved and is 98.34% of what we expected (a decrease of 2%) in deaths from All Causes among women aged 55-59 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

23,094 ÷ 4,932,218 = 0.00468 (5-yr CDR)

674,554(2022 pop) X 0.00468 = 3,158 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

3,266 – 3,158 = 108 or 108 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

3,266 ÷ 3,158 = 1.0318 or an increase of 3%

for deaths from All Causes among women aged 55-59 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,606,772 X 0.00491 = 27,550 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

26360 – 27,550 = -1,190 or 1,190 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

26,360 ÷ 27,550 = 0.9549 or a decrease of 5%

in deaths from All Causes among women aged 55-59 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.