2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 35-39 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 35-39 in New York

1. 1,142 of 2,390 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 47.78% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 12% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 1,011 of 1,632 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 131 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 758 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 35 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 2,786 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of New York’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 12% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 1,142 of 1,309,358 people aged 35-39 living in New York died from Unknown Causes.

1,142 ÷ 1,309,358 = 0.00087 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 15,751 deaths from Unknown Causes among 20,400,735 people aged 35-39 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

15,751 ÷ 20,400,735 = 0.00077 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,309,358 X 0.00077 = 1,011 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

1,142 – 1,011 = 131

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

1,142 ÷ 1,011 = 1.1152

This reveals 131 lives lost and is 111.52% of what we expected (an increase of 12%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 35-39 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

6,819 ÷ 8,956,246 = 0.00076 (5-yr CDR)

1,309,358(2022 pop) X 0.00076 = 997 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

1,142 – 997 = 145 or 145 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

1,142 ÷ 997 = 1.1307 or an increase of 13%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 35-39 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,265,604 X 0.00077 = 7,926 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

7961 – 7,926 = 35 or 35 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

7,961 ÷ 7,926 = 0.9916 or a decrease of 1%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 35-39 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.