2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Both Sexes – Ages 55-59 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for people aged 55-59 in New York

1. 2,131 of 8,520 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 25.01% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 4% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 2,036 of 8,534 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 95 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 14 fewer than expected All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 22 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 1,258 fewer than expected All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of New York’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 4% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many people aged 55-59 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 2,131 of 1,319,494 people aged 55-59 living in New York died from Unknown Causes.

2,131 ÷ 1,319,494 = 0.00162 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 27,074 deaths from Unknown Causes among 17,549,303 people aged 55-59 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

27,074 ÷ 17,549,303 = 0.00154 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

1,319,494 X 0.00154 = 2,036 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

2,131 – 2,036 = 95

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

2,131 ÷ 2,036 = 1.0401

This reveals 95 lives lost and is 104.01% of what we expected (an increase of 4%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 55-59 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

14,579 ÷ 9,525,885 = 0.00153 (5-yr CDR)

1,319,494(2022 pop) X 0.00153 = 2,019 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

2,131 – 2,019 = 112 or 112 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

2,131 ÷ 2,019 = 1.0484 or an increase of 5%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 55-59 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

10,845,379 X 0.00154 = 16,732 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

16710 – 16,732 = -22 or 22 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

16,710 ÷ 16,732 = 0.9923 or a decrease of 1%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among people aged 55-59 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.