2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – All Ages | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men of all ages in New York

1. 16,211 of 88,869 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 18.24% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 16% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 13,852 of 74,482 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 2,359 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 14,387 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 10,408 excess deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 78,168 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of New York’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 16% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men of all ages were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 16,211 of 9,473,078 men of all ages living in New York died from Unknown Causes.

16,211 ÷ 9,473,078 = 0.00171 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 202,084 deaths from Unknown Causes among 138,202,748 men of all ages living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

202,084 ÷ 138,202,748 = 0.00146 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

9,473,078 X 0.00146 = 13,852 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

16,211 – 13,852 = 2,359

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

16,211 ÷ 13,852 = 1.1624

This reveals 2,359 lives lost and is 116.24% of what we expected (an increase of 16%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

104,252 ÷ 65,792,118 = 0.00158 (5-yr CDR)

9,473,078(2022 pop) X 0.00158 = 15,011 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

16,211 – 15,011 = 1,200 or 1,200 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

16,211 ÷ 15,011 = 1.0732 or an increase of 7%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

75,265,196 X 0.00146 = 110,055 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

120463 – 110,055 = 10,408 or 10,408 lives lost

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

120,463 ÷ 110,055 = 1.0871 or an increase of 9%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men of all ages living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.