2022 Deaths – Unknown Causes – Male – Ages 35-39 | New York, United States

2022 vs New Normal™ for men aged 35-39 in New York

1. 675 of 1,619 total deaths were from Unknown Causes
2. 41.69% of all deaths were from Unknown Causes
3. This is up 10% compared to Old Normal rates.
4. 608 of 1,055 total deaths would have been expected under Old Normal conditions.
5. 67 excess deaths from Unknown Causes in 2022.
6. 564 excess All Cause deaths in 2022.
7. 48 fewer than expected deaths from Unknown Causes (2015-2022)
8. 2,315 excess All Cause deaths over the first 8 years of New York’s New Normal™.

1. To show this year’s deaths from Unknown Causes are up 10% compared to Old Normal rates, we need to calculate the rates for both 2022 and for the Old Normal.

Remember, death rates are calculated to answer these questions:

• “How many men aged 35-39 were there?” and
• “How many of them died from Unknown Causes?”

The following 2 charts provide this information:

From the charts, we can see that in 2022, 675 of 658,741 men aged 35-39 living in New York died from Unknown Causes.

675 ÷ 658,741 = 0.00102 (2022 CDR)

We’ll use the table below to calculate our Old Normal rate for deaths from Unknown Causes

The table shows there were a total of 9,249 deaths from Unknown Causes among 10,017,237 men aged 35-39 living in New York in the 15 years immediately prior to the New Normal™.

9,249 ÷ 10,017,237 = 0.00092 (Old Normal CDR)

We can use the Old Normal rate to predict this year’s deaths:

2022 pop X Old Normal CDR = expected deaths

658,741 X 0.00092 = 608 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths shows lives saved or lost:

675 – 608 = 67

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths gives us the comparative rates:

675 ÷ 608 = 1.0979

This reveals 67 lives lost and is 109.79% of what we expected (an increase of 10%) in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 35-39 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the Old Normal.

This is the same method used by Public Health to calculate the 5-yr CDR (Cumulative Death Rate):

3,980 ÷ 4,435,405 = 0.00090 (5-yr CDR)

658,741(2022 pop) X 0.00090 = 591 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

675 – 591 = 84 or 84 lives lost

Divide actual deaths by expected deaths:

675 ÷ 591 = 1.1293 or an increase of 13%

for deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 35-39 living in New York in 2022, as compared to the previous 5 years.

Compare our Old Normal to the 5yr CDR. Does it tell the same story your TV does?

Finally, the same method can also be used to compare our Old Normal rate to the New Normal™ rate:

New Normal™ population X Old Normal rate = expected deaths

5,094,146 X 0.00092 = 4,703 expected deaths

The difference between actual and expected deaths:

4655 – 4,703 = -48 or 48 lives saved

Dividing the actual deaths by the expected deaths:

4,655 ÷ 4,703 = 0.9791 or a decrease of 2%

in deaths from Unknown Causes among men aged 35-39 living in New York in the New Normal™, as compared to the Old Normal.